花旗：油价将在更长时间内保持低位

据道琼斯12月4日消息，花旗集团表示，由于原油库存趋于增加，油价在更长时间内将保持较低水平。花旗称，欧佩克有一定的可能将出乎市场意料地逆转政策，不再通过高产量保持市场份额，但减产的可能性不大，因为大部分主张减产的成员国减产的条件都不成熟。随着针对伊朗的制裁取消，2016年欧佩克石油日产量将可能增至3,200万桶。花旗称，即便是在全球需求将增长、非欧佩克产量下降的情况下，如此幅度的欧佩克产量增加也意味着2016年全年出现市场供应过剩。

唐绍红摘译自道琼斯

原文如下：

Oil Prices Will Stay 'Lower for Longer,' Says Citi

[Dow Jones] With crude inventories set to trend higher, the "lower for longer" trading theme will continue, says Citi. The house says there is some chance that Opec will surprise the market by reversing its policy of keeping output high to defend market share, but it is highly unlike as most of the members favoring a cut are not in the best position to do so. Opec output will likely increase to 32 million barrels a day in 2016 as sanctions on Iran are lifted. "Even with global demand projected to grow and non-Opec [output] declining this implies a market surplus throughout 2016," it says.