据道琼斯10月18日消息,野村证券油气研究主管Gordon Kwan称,未来两年全球石油产量将减少,同时需求将继续保持130万至140万桶/日的增长,预计明年布伦特油价从2016年的每桶42美元/桶涨至每桶60美元,2018年将进一步涨至每桶70美元。他指出,欧佩克减产计划将消除目前市场上估计过剩的每日100万桶供应,在第四季度天气较为寒冷的几个月甚至可能推动市场回升。
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
OPEC Production Cut Deal Could Boost Brent to $60 in 2017
[Dow Jones] Brent oil prices are expected to rise to $60 a barrel next year and $70 in 2018, compared to the average prices of $42 in 2016, as global production ebbs and demand remains resilient at 1.3 million to 1.4 million barrels a day for the next two years, says Gordon Kwan, the head of oil and gas research at Nomura. He points out the OPEC plan to cut production will remove the current estimated excess supply of 1 million barrels a day from the markets and "perhaps even move the market during the colder months in the fourth quarter."