据道琼斯6月16日消息,澳新银行资深策略师Daniel Hynes称,虽然英国脱欧公投不会对全球石油需求情况产生直接影响,但投资者的避险潮可能会推动美元升值,进而导致大宗商品市场疲软。然而他表示,油价目前与美元走势呈较低的负相关性,走势关联性为27%左右,远低于美元与工业金属价格之间47%的相关性以及美元与金价之间52%的相关性。他表示:“大宗商品也已经开始受到英国脱欧不确定性的影响。”
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Brexit Vote Holds Back Oil Prices: ANZ
[Dow Jones] While the Brexit vote won't have direct impact on global oil demand, a flight to safety by investors could see the greenback strengthening, thus driving weakness in commodity markets, says Daniel Hynes, a senior strategist at ANZ. However, he says that oil currently has a low inverse correlation with the dollar, at around 27%, much lower compared with the dollar's correlation with industrial metal, at 47%, and gold, at 52%. "Commodities have also started to be impacted by the uncertainty around the United Kingdom's future in the European Union," he says.