据道琼斯3月18日消息,美银美林表示,油价的崩盘是直线式的,但是油价的复苏不会是直线式的。美银美林预计欧佩克冻结产量、强劲的驱车季节、货币政策的宽松以及美国页岩油产量的下降将推动WTI原油价格在6月份前升至47美元/桶。但是该行预测,9月底前油价将重新跌至39美元/桶,主要是因为驱车旺季结束以及秋季炼油厂检修高峰期的来临。
庞晓华摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Merrill: Prepare for a W-Shaped Recovery in Oil
Oil's price crash was linear, but the recovery won't be, says Bank of America Merrill Lynch. It expects OPEC's output freeze, a strong driving season, easy money and falling US shale output to push WTI to $47/barrel by June. But the investment bank then sees a decline to $39 by the end of September due to lessened driving demand and the autumn refinery maintenance season.