Pira能源集团：第四季度油价将强劲上涨

据道琼斯8月3日消息，能源咨询公司Pira能源集团称，非欧佩克产油国产量的大幅下降和需求的强劲增长或将促使全球石油市场在今年第四季度回归平衡。该公司称：“目前油价太低，应该会出现反弹。供应面的政治风险已经增加，美国原油出口应当会回升，并有助于8-9月美国原油库存大幅减少。”但该公司警告称，今年秋天炼油厂利润率可能疲软，因为炼油厂试图消化成品油高库存。

张春晓摘译自道琼斯

原文如下：

Oil Prices to Stage Strong Growth in 4Q: Pira Energy Group

[Dow Jones] Sharp production declines in non-OPEC countries and robust demand growth will likely propel the global oil market rebalance in the last quarter of the year, says energy consulting firm Pira Energy Group. "Prices are currently too low and should rally from here. Political risks to supply have turned higher. U.S. crude exports should pick up and contribute to substantial U.S. crude stock draws in August and September," the firm says, but cautions refinery margins will be weak this fall as refiners seek to digest their high stocks of refined products.