中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯11月25日消息,瑞士联合银行(UBS)表示,即使欧佩克决定不减产,到2018年第三季度全球原油供应也将出现短缺。该行分析师在一份报告中称,欧佩克减产失败可能令油价在短期跌破40美元/桶,如果达成减产协议,油价的底部为50美元/桶。现在仍不清楚欧佩克在11月30日的维也纳会议上会选择哪一种方向,但是在过去的两周中,欧佩克已经传递出积极的信息。
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
No OPEC Cut Would Mean Sub-$40/Bbl Oil
Even if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries decides against cutting output, the global crude balance will swing into deficit by the third quarter of 2018, according to UBS. In a note, the bank's analysts say a failure by OPEC to cut would probably send oil prices south of $40 a barrel in the short-term, as opposed to a floor of $50 if they do reach a consensus. It is still not certain which direction OPEC will take on Nov. 30 when it meets in Vienna, but the cartel has been sending out positive messages over the last two weeks.