据道琼斯7月14日消息,能源顾问伍德麦肯兹表示,受凝析油产量增加的影响,2015年俄罗斯的石油和凝析油产量达到了1070万桶/天,创下后苏联时代的最高纪录。未来几年,俄罗斯的凝析油产量将继续增长,但是一旦西方制裁的影响开始显现,2020年后俄罗斯的石油产量可能面临较大的挑战。伍德麦肯兹俄罗斯上游分析师Christian Boermel表示:“我们看到俄罗斯液体油产量受到凝析油产量影响而快速增加,但是考虑到宏观经济的不利影响,包括卢布的波动和油价的下跌,2020年后俄罗斯的石油产量面临着较大的不确定性。”
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Russia's Oil Production Hits New High, But Future Is Gloomy
[Dow Jones]--Russian oil and condensate production reached a new post-Soviet record of 10.7 million barrels a day in 2015, driven by condensate, says energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie. Condensate output will continue to provide growth over the next few years, but post 2020 Russia could face a big production gap once the impact of western sanctions kick in. "We see actual growth in liquids being driven by condensate, but given the unfavorable macro-economic situation with a volatile ruble and depressed oil price, there is significant uncertainty for Russian production in the longer-term, post 2020," says Christian Boermel, Wood Mackenzie's Russia upstream analyst.