据普氏能源资讯1月12日伦敦报道,美国著名投资银行高盛投资银行12日大幅削减了其对今年平均油价的预测,但是,高盛投资银行说,不断下降的美国页岩产量预示着全球石油市场将在今年年底前重新平衡。
高盛投资银行说,由于全球油价继续快速陷入近6年来的低点,高盛投资银行把布伦特原油今年的平均价格从此前预测的每桶83.8美元削减到了50.4美元,而把美国WTI原油今年的平均价格从此前预测的每桶73.75美元削减到47.15美元。
但是,高盛投资银行说,由于页岩油项目一旦资本投资恢复能够迅速反弹,美国页岩生产显著放缓将需要WTI原油在今年上半年的大多数时间里在每桶40美元附近交易。
李峻 编译
原文如下:
Goldman Sachs cuts oil price forecasts
London (Platts)--12Jan2015
US investment bank Goldman Sachs cut sharply Monday its forecasts for average oil prices in 2015 but said sliding US shale production could see the global oil market rebalance by the end of the year.
Goldman said it expects Brent crude to average $50.40/b from $83.80/b, as global oil price continue to their rapid descent into near six-year lows. WTI is expected to average $47.15 a barrel, down from a previous forecast of $73.75/b, the bank said.
But a significant slowdown in US shale production would need WTI to trade near $40/b for most of the first half of the year as shale oil projects can rebound quickly once capital investment returns, according to the bank.