据道琼斯2月10日消息,北欧斯安银行的Bjarne Schieldrop称,全球石油行业资本支出削减幅度已经很大,未来三年石油市场将出现供应短缺的局面。分析师们在一份报告中称,2017年全球石油市场供应赤字将达到40万桶/天,而2018年和2019年将分别达到50万桶/天和120万桶/天。这将令全球消耗7.44亿桶的库存石油用于弥补供应的短缺,从而导致油价到2019年大幅上扬至80美元/桶的水平。
庞晓华摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Oil Market Deficit Could See Prices Spike in 2019
The cuts to capital expenditure across the oil world have run so deep that there will be a supply deficit for the next three years, according to Bjarne Schieldrop from the Stockholm-based SEB bank. In a note, the analyst says that 2017 will see a deficit of 400,000 barrels a day while 2018 and 2019 will witness cuts of 500,000 b/d and 1.2 million b/d respectively. This will translate into 744 million barrels of global stocks being used to make up the difference, leading to a price spike to $80 a barrel by 2019.