据道琼斯8月2日消息,花旗期货分析师Tim Evans表示,欧佩克原油产量日益增加可能推迟备受期待的全球石油市场再平衡,增加了油价回调至35美元/桶区域的风险。他指出,在6月份平均石油产量达到3293万桶/日之后,7月份欧佩克产量或将增加10万桶/日。不过他预计,考虑到欧佩克的现行政策,今年下半年和2017年欧佩克平均产量或为3320万桶/日,从而导致未来四个季度供需接近平衡。
张春晓摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Rising OPEC Output Could Push Prices to $35: Citi Futures
[Dow Jones] Rising OPEC crude oil production risks postponing a much-anticipated rebalancing of the global petroleum market, adding to the risk of an intermediate correction to the $35 barrel area, says Tim Evans, a Citi Futures analyst. He notes the cartel likely increased output by 100,000 barrels a day in July, after reaching an average of 32.93 million barrels a day in June. However, he adds that OPEC production may average 33.2 million barrels a day in the second half of 2016 and in 2017 given current OPEC policy, resulting in a near balance between supply and demand over the next four quarters.