据道琼斯5月19日消息,PVM经纪公司的Tamas Varga表示,美国页岩油产量不太可能马上出现回升。被视为是产量指标的美国石油钻机数量自去年以来一直处于下降通道,当前仍在下降,而钻机数量下降和页岩油产量下降之间通常滞后五个月的时间。Varga表示:“如果这个时间滞后是正确的,那么美国页岩油产量至少要到今年10月才能开始回升。”
庞晓华摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Pick-up in U.S. Shale Oil Production Unlikely
An imminent pick-up in U.S. shale oil production is unlikely, says Tamas Varga of PVM brokerage. U.S. rig counts, a rough proxy for production, have been falling since last year and on the way down there was a five month time lag between the fall in rig counts and the decline in shale output, Mr. Varga says. "If this time lag will be the same on the way up then shale oil output will not start picking up until at least October this year," he adds.