据道琼斯4月21日消息,国际能源署(IEA)署长比罗尔周四在日本一个新闻发布会上表示,IEA预计2016年非欧佩克产油国的原油产量将减少70万桶/日,特别是美国产量的下降。不过他表示:“美国轻质致密油的产量将会反弹,我们预计到2021年的预测期内美国将对供应增长的贡献最大。”他还称,由于缺乏新投资,同一时期内来自俄罗斯、中国、墨西哥、哥伦比亚的供应将会减少。随着非欧佩克产油国的产量减少,市场将在2017年回归平衡,而且可能在2018年之后动用库存,这将导致油价的逐步上涨。
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Non-OPEC Production to Fall by 700,000 Bbl/D in 2016: IEA
[Dow Jones] International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol at a news conference in Japan Thursday said the agency expects non-OPEC production of crude oil, in particular those from the U.S., to decline by 700,000 barrels a day in 2016. "However U.S. light tight oil production will recover and we expect the United States to be the largest contributor to supply growth during our forecast period to 2021," he said, noting supply from Russia, China, Mexico, and Colombia will decrease throughout the period due to lack of new investments. The fall in non-OPEC production will bring market back to balance in 2017 and will likely result in a stock draw in 2018 onwards, leading to a gradual increase in prices.