据道琼斯9月22日消息,渣打银行石油研究主管Paul Horsnell在报告中称,就中长期而言,每桶50美元的油价太低难以维持,这样的低油价只有在短期内才是合理的,以便去除市场上的过量供应。 他称,在每桶50美元的水平,非欧佩克地区的原油供应停止增长,美国页岩油产量下降,传统石油生产的投资也被大幅削减。此外他表示:“即便在经济增长疲软的时期,每桶50美元的水平也会带来需求的大幅增长。”
庞晓华摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Oil Price of $50/bbl is Too Low for Long Term: StanChart
[Dow Jones] An oil price of $50 a barrel is too low to be sustained over the medium or long term, and is reasonable only in the short-term to remove excess supply from the market, Paul Horsnell, head of oil research at Standard Chartered says in a report. He says at $50/bbl oil supply in non-OPEC regions stops growing, U.S. shale output falls and investment in conventional oil production is cut heavily. "Further, $50/bbl leads to sharp increases in demand even in a period of weak economic growth," he says.