据道琼斯5月12日消息,高盛公司表示,如果你正准备再次看涨原油,请不要这么做。自冬季经历大跌后,近期原油价格强劲反弹,但高盛认为,现在认为原油市场将复苏为时过早。原油市场依然供应过剩,美国石油钻探平台数量减少尚不足以改变这一局面。油价上涨还可能促使美国油气生产商再度增产,同时,伊朗重新开始出口原油也构成一个持续风险。高盛表示:“此次油价大涨已经有点过头了,但因为即将进入夏季需求旺季,油价重新回落可能需要时间。”
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Be Careful About Going Bullish on Oil, Says Goldman
[Dow Jones]--If you're getting ready to go bullish on oil again, don't, says Goldman Sachs. Crude prices have rallied since their dramatic winter drop, but according to the Wall Street bank the market recovery is premature. The market remains oversupplied and reductions in U.S. rig counts aren't yet significant enough to change that. Higher prices could also encourage American producers to increase their output again and the return of Iranian barrels remains a persistent risk. "The relief rally has overshot," says Goldman, though it may take time for prices to fall again as we head into the strong summer demand season.