据阿纳多卢新闻4月14日新闻消息称,欧佩克周二在其月度石油市场报告中表示,2021年全球石油需求预计将增长约6%,达到平均9650万桶/天。
它补充称,预计汽油将成为夏季驾驶季节开始后石油需求复苏的关键驱动因素。
“2021年期间风险仍将很高,取决于疫情的发展以及达到群体免疫目标的速度,” 报告警告称,将进一步影响石油需求的短期因素包括劳动力市场的发展、疫情对需求的结构性影响、新能源政策以及大规模货币和财政刺激措施的有效性。
2021年欧佩克原油需求较上月上调20万桶/天,至2740万桶/天,比2020年高出490万桶/天。
3月全球石油日产量较上月增加122万桶,平均日产量为9323万桶,较上年同期减少722万桶。
报告显示,2月份欧佩克原油产量环比增加20万桶/天,平均达到2504万桶/天,而欧佩克原油占全球总产量的份额下降到26.9%,较上月下降0.1%。
3月非欧佩克液体产量比上月增加102万桶/日,至平均6819万桶/日。
朱佳妮 摘译自 阿纳多卢新闻
原文如下:
Global oil demand to increase 6% in 2021: OPEC
Global oil demand is expected to increase by around 6% to an average of 96.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2021, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said in its Monthly Oil Market Report on Tuesday.
Gasoline is projected to be the key driver for the oil demand recovery beginning with the onset of the summer driving season, it added.
“Risks will remain high during 2021, subject to COVID-19 developments, and the pace of reaching herd immunity targets,” the report warned, noting that short term factors that will further impact oil demand involve developments in labor markets, the structural impact of the pandemic on demand, new energy policies and the effectiveness of large-scale monetary and fiscal stimulus measures.
Demand for OPEC crude in 2021 has been revised up by 200,000 bpd from the previous month to stand at 27.4 million bpd, which is 4.9 million bpd higher than in 2020.
Global oil production in March increased by 1.22 million bpd compared to the previous month to average 93.23 million bpd, while reflecting a year-on-year fall of 7.22 million bpd.
The report shows that OPEC crude oil production increased by 200,000 bpd month-over-month to an average of 25.04 million bpd, while the share of OPEC crude out of total global production fell to 26.9% in February, marking a 0.1% decrease compared with the previous month.
Non-OPEC liquids production in March increased by 1.02 million bpd compared with the previous month to an average of 68.19 million bpd.