中国石化新闻网讯 据今日油价2月21日报道,人类行为和分析公司Escalent本周发布的一份最新报告显示,美国和欧洲主要经济体的汽车购买者预计,5至10年内,基础设施和电池电动车(bev)市场环境将得到改善,他们将选择购买电动汽车,而不是汽油动力汽车。
根据Escalent在2019年对1000名美国消费者和1000多名德国、英国和西班牙消费者进行的调查,尽管明年人们不太可能去选择电动汽车来代替汽油或柴油动力汽车,但预计在5到10年内,购买汽油汽车的人所占的比例将明显减少。
在未来10年,消费者预计电动汽车将成为竞争对手,成为汽油或柴油动力汽车的可行替代品。研究发现,这是消费者预期的一个重大转变。
在美国消费者中,70%的人希望在一年内买一辆汽油车,而在那些希望在五到十年内买一辆汽油车的人当中,这一比例下降到了37%。调查显示,在欧洲,50%的潜在购车者会在一年内选择内燃机车,而只有23%的人会在五到十年内选择汽油车。
目前,电动汽车在美国汽车销量中只占很小的一部分,仅占2019年第三季度乘用车总销量的2.2%。与此同时,汽油suv和非商业中小型皮卡的销量也在上升。
对于Escalent的报告,Escalent英国办事处联席董事总经理Mark Carpenter表示:“虽然大多数买家不打算在未来五年内选择BEVs而不是汽油动力汽车,但消费者已经告诉我们,他们打算在接下来的五年内认真考虑BEVs。且制造商将需要挖掘BEVs的情感价值,而不仅仅是理性和功能方面,以抓住这一意图,并鼓励更广泛的消费者来购买。”
据Wood Mackenzie表示,电池组价格下降、充电速度加快、续航里程增加,将使2020年代成为电动汽车的十年。
邹勤 摘译自 今日油价
原文如下:
Drivers To Start Ditching Gasoline Cars for EVs As Early As 2025
Car buyers in the United States and major European economies expect improved infrastructure and range of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) to convince them to choose buying an electric car over a gasoline-powered car in five to ten years, a new report from human behavior and analytics firm Escalent showed this week.
Although drivers are unlikely to choose an EV over gas or diesel-powered car in the next year, the share of those who expect to buy a gasoline car in five to ten years is significantly lower, according to Escalent’s survey carried out in 2019 among 1,000 American consumers and more than 1,000 consumers in Germany, the UK, and Spain.
Over the coming decade, consumers expect electric vehicles to become competitors and viable alternatives to gasoline- or diesel-powered vehicles. This is a significant shift in consumers’ expectations, the study found.
Among American consumers, 70 percent expect to buy a gasoline car within one year, but the share of those expecting to buy a gas-powered car in five to ten years drops to just 37 percent. In Europe, 50 percent of potential car buyers would choose an internal combustion engine (ICE) car within a year, but only 23 percent would buy a gasoline vehicle in five to ten years, the survey showed.
Currently, EVs are still a tiny fraction of all cars sold in the United States, accounting for just 2.2% of all passenger car sales in Q3 2019. At the same time, sales of gasoline SUVs and non-commercial small and medium-sized pick-up trucks are on the rise.
Commenting on Escalent’s report, Mark Carpenter, joint managing director of Escalent’s UK office, said:“While most buyers don’t plan to choose BEVs over gasoline-powered cars within the next five years, consumers have told us there is a clear intention to take BEVs seriously in the five years that follow.”
“However, manufacturers will need to tap into the emotional value of BEVs rather than just the rational and functional aspects to seize on that intent and inspire broader consumer adoption,” Carpenter added.
According to Wood Mackenzie, falling battery pack prices, faster charging, and greater ranges will make the 2020s the decade of the electric vehicle.