中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯8月16日报道,由于德国领导人承诺采取经济刺激措施,原油期货小幅走高,欧佩克报告7月份原油产量大幅下降。
纽约商品交易所9月WTI原油期货结算价上涨40美分,至54.87美元/桶,洲际交易所10月布伦特原油期货结算价上涨41美分,至58.64美元/桶。
据报道,德国总理默克尔周五表示,如果经济进一步下滑或衰退,德国政府将愿意承担额外的债务来刺激经济。德国政府采取行动的承诺推动美国股指连续第二个交易日走高。
德国联邦统计局(Federal Statistics Office)周三公布的数据显示,德国2019年第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)同比下降0.1%,凸显出人们对这个欧洲最大经济体可能陷入衰退的担忧,并导致WTI和布伦特原油期货价格下跌约3%。
上周五的结算价走高使布伦特原油和WTI原油的价格较上周分别上涨了0.2%和0.7%左右,欧佩克一份看涨原油产量的报告,进一步支撑了油价。
欧佩克在其备受关注的月度石油市场报告中表示,该组织7月份将原油日产量削减至2961万桶,较6月份下降8.2%。产量下降主要是由沙特阿拉伯带动的,该国表示,其石油产量已降至5年多来的最低水平,但几个成员国报告的产量远低于它们在一项旨在提振油价的协议中承诺的配额。
该报告称,产量下降将在2019年下半年收紧石油供应,但可能需要进一步削减产量,以防止2020年原油囤积。
欧佩克分析师将其对该组织第三季度全球原油需求预估调高至3,666万桶/天,第四季度为3,017万桶/天,并表明,若欧佩克成员国维持当前产量水准,石油库存应会大幅下降。但该报告称,对欧佩克原油的需求预计将在2020年第一季度回落至2885万桶/天,第二季度回落至2939万桶/天。
纽约商品交易所9月ULSD收高21点,报每加仑1.8128美元,9月RBOB收高2.04美分,报每加仑1.6568美元。
王佳晶 摘译自 普氏能源资讯
原文如下:
Oil rises as Germany pledges economic stimulus, OPEC slashes output
Crude futures edged higher Friday as Germany's leadership pledged to undertake economic stimulus measures and OPEC reported sharply lower crude output in July.
NYMEX September WTI settled up 40 cents at $54.87/b and ICE October Brent was 41 cents higher at the close of trading at $58.64/b.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Friday the country's government would be willing to take on additional debt to stimulate the economy in event of further economic downturn or recession, according to media reports. The promise of action by the German government sent US stock indexes higher for a second session.
Germany's second-quarter 2019 GDP contracted 0.1% compared with the prior quarter, the Federal Statistics Office reported Wednesday, highlighting fears Europe's largest economy could fall into recession and contributing to roughly 3% slide in WTI and Brent futures.
Friday's higher settle put Brent and WTI up week on week by around 0.2% and 0.7%, respectively.
A bullish OPEC crude production report added further support Friday.
The bloc slashed its crude production in July to 29.61 million b/d, an 8.2% drop from June, OPEC said in its closely watched monthly oil market report. The production decline was led by Saudi Arabia, which said it pumped its lowest level in more than five years, but several member states reported output far below the quotas they had committed to under a deal aimed at bolstering oil prices.
The decline in production should tighten oil supply in the second half of 2019, but further cuts are likely needed to prevent a crude build-up in 2020, the report said.
OPEC analysts raised their projections of global demand for the bloc's crude to 31.66 million b/d in the third quarter and 30.17 million b/d in the fourth quarter, indicating that if OPEC members maintain their current production levels, oil inventories should see a significant fall.
But the call on OPEC crude is expected to retreat to 28.85 million b/d in the first quarter of 2020 and 29.39 million b/d in the second quarter, the report said.
NYMEX September ULSD settled 21 points higher at $1.8128/gal and September RBOB was up 2.04 cents at $1.6568/gal at market close.