中国石化新闻网讯 据彭博社12月15日消息 俄罗斯央行不相信欧佩克及其盟国削减石油供应能够重振石油市场,因为美国石油产量激增正好可以抵消这一影响。
俄罗斯央行行长埃尔维拉?纳比乌利纳表示,由于供应风险上升主要与美国“快速增产”有关,该行将明年原油价格预期从63美元下调至55美元。就在一周前,该国能源部长亚历山大?诺瓦克促成了一项协议,导致所谓的欧佩克集团同意每天减产120万桶,以提振油价。
尽管产出降幅大于预期,但原油仍陷于熊市,伦敦市场的交易价格在每桶60美元左右。尽管包括国际能源署在内的大多数机构预计,这些限制措施将在2019年上半年减少全球石油储备,但由此导致的油价上涨可能有助于美国石油公司提高产量。传奇石油交易员安迪?霍尔表示,美国页岩气的热潮使预测全球供应变得困难得多。
吴慧丹 摘译自 彭博社
原文如下:
Russia’s central bank is not convinced that OPEC and its allies’ supply cuts can revive the oil market as it’s being countered by surging U.S. production.
The Bank of Russia cut its crude price outlook for next year to $55 a barrel from $63 on higher supply risks, mainly related to “fast output increase” in America, according to Governor Elvira Nabiullina. Just a week ago the country’s Energy Minister Alexander Novak brokered a deal that led to the so-called OPEC+ group agreeing to cut production by 1.2 million barrels a day in an effort to boost prices.
Crude remains stuck in a bear market, trading around $60 a barrel in London, despite the larger-than-expected output reduction. While most, including the International Energy Agency, expect the curbs to reduce global stockpiles in the first half of 2019, resultant higher prices could help American drillers boost production. Legendary oil trader Andy Hall said the U.S. shale boom has made it far harder to predict global supplies.