中国石化新闻网讯 据OGJ网站7月13日休斯顿报道,全球著名能源资讯公司伍德麦肯兹公司(WM)估计,在2018年至2022年的5年里,全球将花费320亿美元用于钻井平台的退役。各国政府将决定由谁来支付这笔退役费用,许多国家的退役法律法规仍然不完整或未经检验。
伍德麦克兹全球财政研究主管罗斯?米兰和伍德麦克兹全球财政研究高级副总裁格雷厄姆?凯勒斯就各种退役方法撰写了一份报告。
报告说,在美国墨西哥湾,钻井平台的退役是最成熟的,自1985年以来,平均每年有100多个钻井平台被移除。
报告说:“最近的油价下跌使得北海的成熟成为人们关注的焦点。在2013年至2017年的5年时间里停产的472个油田中,英国占到了16%。由于英国上游业务几乎完全位于海外,因此,英国未来10年的钻井平台退役费用将达到近300亿美元。
伍德麦克兹预测,在未来5年内,全球将有另外700个油田停产,这取决于油价。
伍德麦克兹的报告说,如果成本完全可抵扣的话,那么在产量分成合同中享有高税率或利润分成的政府实际上能够承担大部分的退役费用。
李峻 编译自 OGJ
原文如下:
WoodMac: $32 billion to be spent on decommissioning worldwide in 5 years
Wood Mackenzie Ltd. estimates $32 billion will be spent on decommissioning worldwide during 2018-22. Governments determine who pays for decommissioning, and decommissioning laws and regulations remain incomplete or untested in many countries.
Ross Millan, WoodMac director of global fiscal research, and Graham Kellas, WoodMac senior vice-president of global fiscal research, wrote a report on various decommissioning approaches.
Decommissioning is most mature in the US Gulf of Mexico where an average of more than 100 platforms/year have been removed since about 1985.
“The maturity of the North Sea was brought into sharp focus by the latest oil price drop,” the report said. “The UK accounted for 16% of the estimated 472 fields that ceased production in 2013-17. It will spend almost $30 billion on decommissioning in the next 10 years because its upstream business is almost entirely located offshore.”
WoodMac forecast another 700 fields worldwide could cease production during the next 5 years depending upon oil prices.
Governments having high tax rates or profit share in production-sharing contracts effectively can be liable for most of the decommissioning expenses if costs are fully deductible, the WoodMac report said.