中国石化新闻网讯 据国外媒体伦敦报道,英国石油公司(BP)周三在其最新一期的能源能源展望报告中表示,由于电动汽车队伍迅速扩大促进塑料制品消费进一步增加以及技术彻底改变运输,全球石油需求将继续增长到21世纪40年代。
这家英国最大油气公司还在报告中说,目前全球大约2.6万亿桶可采石油储量足以满足全球到2050年的需求两次。
BP首席经济学家斯潘塞?戴尔日前在采访中说,丰富的石油资源可能为低成本生产商(例如美国页岩公司)、中东欧佩克成员国和俄罗斯以及例如巴西、北海和亚洲等地区更昂贵海上生产之间的长期斗争创造条件。
戴尔对记者说,低成本生产商将利用他们的竞争优势来增加他们相对于高成本生产商的份额。
但是,他说他不会为油价提供预测。
原文如下:
李峻 编译
Global Oil Demand to Grow into 2040s
WENews.com/January 29, 2017/London
Global oil demand will keep growing into the 2040s due to higher consumption of plastic goods even as the electric vehicle fleet expands rapidly and technology revolutionises transport, BP said in its annual Energy Outlook on Wednesday.
The British oil and gas company also said current recoverable global oil supplies of around 2.6 trillion barrels are sufficient to meet demand out to 2050 twice over.
The abundance of oil could set the stage for a long-term struggle between low-cost producers such as U.S. shale companies, OPEC members in the Middle East as well as Russia and more expensive offshore production in areas such as Brazil, the North Sea and Asia, BP Chief Economist Spencer Dale said.
"Low-cost producers will use their competitive advantage to increase their share relative to higher-cost producers," Dale told reporters.
He would not provide a forecast for oil prices.