中国石化新闻网讯 据海外媒体12月2日伦敦报道,根据全球著名能源咨询公司挪威雷斯塔能源公司,全球页岩产量预计从2018年起显著增加,每年额外日增100万桶,而海上产量将看到同比下降。
雷斯塔能源公司负责分析的副总裁埃斯彭?埃尔林森说,虽然页岩被证明只对产量的边际减少有弹性,然而,与2010-2013期间每年平均大约100亿桶相比,2016年只批准了13亿桶新的海上产油量。
随着欧佩克周三宣布削减产量,雷斯塔能源公司预计明年全球液体产量保持在目前的水平上。与此同时,需求预计日增大约130万桶。这意味着大量的库存石油将在2017年大幅度下降。
埃尔林森补充说,这将是全球石油产量连续第二年未能增加。
李峻 编译
原文如下:
Shale Production to Grow, Offshore Output to Decline from 2018
RZNews.com
Friday, December 02, 2016
London
Shale production is expected to grow significantly from 2018, with a yearly addition of 1 million barrels per day, while offshore output will see a decline from the same year, according to Rystad Energy.
“Whilst shale has proven to be resilient with only marginal reduction in produced volumes, only 1.3 billon barrels of new offshore oil volumes are sanctioned in 2016, compared to a yearly average around 10 billion barrels in the period 2010-2013,” Espen Erlingsen, vice president of analysis at Rystad Energy, said.
With the announced OPEC production cut Wednesday, Rystad Energy expects global liquid production to remain at current levels into next year. At the same time, demand is expected to grow by around 1.3 million barrels per day. This means that the large amount of stored oil will decline considerably in 2017.
“This will be the second year in a row in which global oil production fails to grow”, Erlingsen said.
“Shale is the least vulnerable, while offshore continues to be the victim since OPEC’s decision in November 2014,” he added.