美国原油产量在60美元油时仍需时间恢复

据普氏能源资讯5月4日日本九州报道，国际能源署（IEA）署长法提赫?比罗尔1日在日本九州表示，如果油价上升到每桶60至65美元，美国的石油产量可以恢复，但是，这种影响将不会是直接的。

比罗尔是在出席在日本九州举行的七国集团能源部长会议期间在接受标普全球普氏能源资讯记者采访时发表上述讲话的。他说，即使油价上涨到超过每桶60美元，美国的原油产量仍将需要6到12个月的时间来阻止目前产量不断下降的趋势。

比罗尔说：把后勤、钻井设备和钻井工人集中在一起将需要大量的时间，因此，我们认为美国石油产量恢复以及扭转下降趋势可能需要6至12个月的时间。这不是从今天到明天就能解决的。

分析师曾表示，如果油价大幅上涨到每桶50美元以上，美国在过去一年里已经下降的一些页岩油产量可以恢复。但是，由于美国的原油产量在过去一年里稳步下降，因此，一些分析师仍然担忧页岩油的反弹力。

李峻 编译

原文如下：

US oil output could recover in 6-12 months at $60-$65/b, says Birol

Kitakyushu,Japan(Platts)--4 May 2016

US oil production could recover if prices rose to $60-$65/b but the impact would not be immediate, International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol said May 1.

In an interview with S&P Global Platts on the sidelines of the G7 Energy Ministerial meeting in Kitakyushu in southwest Japan, Birol said that even if oil prices climbed over $60/b,UScrude production would take six to 12 months to rescind the current trend of falling output.

"It will take a lot of time to bring the logistics, the rigs, the workers together so we think we may need six months to one year [for] US oil production to come back and see a reverse in the trend of a decline. It will not be from one day to another," he said.

Analysts have said that some of the US shale oil production that has fallen in the past year could come back if prices rose sharply above $50/b. But some have remained wary about the resilience of shale oil, as US crude production has fallen steadily in the past year.