油市场和油价将在明年前从供应过剩回到平衡

据路透社4月21日东京报道，国际能源署（IEA）署长法提赫?比罗尔周四（21日）在东京表示，假如没有任何重大的经济衰退，他预计石油市场在2017年前从供应过剩回到平衡。

比罗尔说，低油价在过去两年里大约削减了40%的投资，随着美国、加拿大、拉丁美洲和俄罗斯的产出大幅减少，世界对中东石油的依赖在今后的几年里将大大加快。

比罗尔是在东京会见了日本首相以后对采访他的媒体记者发表上述讲话的。他说：“今年，我们预计非欧佩克的石油供应出现过去25年里的最大跌幅，平均日减大约70万桶。与此同时，在印度、中国和其他新兴国家强劲需求的驱动下，全球石油需求将迅速增长。”

比罗尔说：“在今年或最迟在2017年，我们预计石油市场和油价重新平衡。当我们看看所有的基本面需求、供应和库存，我完全有理由相信，在没有重大经济衰退情况下，我们将看到石油市场最迟将在2017年前平衡。

李峻 编译

原文如下：

IEA Chief Says Oil Market, Prices To Return To Balance By 2017

Reuters

Thursday, April 21, 2016

TOKYO - International Energy Agency (IEA) chief FatihBirol said on Thursday he expects the oil market to come back into balance from oversupply by next year, providing there is no major economic downturn.

Birol said low oil prices have cut oil investment by about 40 percent in the past two years, with sharp falls in the United States, Canada, Latin America and Russia, and the world's reliance on Middle East oil will accelerate substantially in the next few years.

"This year, we are expecting the biggest decline in non-OPEC oil supply in the last 25 years, almost 700,000 barrels per day. At the same time, global demand growth is in a hectic pace, led by India, China and other emerging countries," he told reporters after meeting Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in Tokyo.

"At the turn of this year or latest 2017, we expect oil markets to rebalance and the prices to rebalance. When we look at all the fundamentals - demand, supply and stocks - I have all the reasons to believe that in the absence of a major economic downturn we are going to see balance in the markets latest by 2017."