据道琼斯10月22日消息,瑞士私人银行Julius Baer大宗商品研究主管Norbert Ruecker表示,由于美国页岩油生产成本下降,油价在2020年前很难回升至70美元-80美元/桶的水平。他指出:“美国页岩油生产将变得更加廉价,基于这个观点,60美元/桶的油价就将意味着有大量的石油涌入市场。” Rueker补充道,这个新的价格支点可能在可预见的未来令成本昂贵的深海石油生产项目陷入困境。
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Cheap Shale Oil Could Kill Deep Sea Projects
Oil prices will struggle to rise to the $70-$80 a barrel mark by the end of the decade due to cost deflation in U.S. shale oil production, says Norbert Ruecker, head of commodities research at the private Swiss bank Julius Baer. "[U.S. shale oil] production will become cheaper and based on this view, $60 oil would mean an abundance of oil entering the market," he says. Mr. Rueker adds that this new price pivot could spell the end of expensive deep sea oil production for the foreseeable future. "I don't see the market needing these old legacy projects," he says.