据道琼斯10月7日消息,辉立期货能源分析师Daniel Ang表示,尽管美国原油产量可能减速的预期促使油价上升,但伊朗石油可能在11月份回归市场,应该会抑制住油价的反弹。他表示:“今年余下时间的供应量将取决于伊朗原油的回归速度以及美国的减产速度二者孰快孰慢;市场可能在年底前找到供需平衡点。”他预计,若纽商所西得州中质油(WTI)的油价突破每桶49.66美元、布伦特油价突破每桶53美元,将传递出清晰的看涨信号。
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Expected Return of Iranian Oil Likely To Cap Rally
[Dow Jones] Despite the rise in oil prices as U.S. crude production is seen to be easing, the return of Iranian oil, possibly in November, should put a cap on the rally, says Daniel Ang, a Phillip Futures Energy analyst. "We believe that supply for the rest of the year will depend on the speed of Iranian oil's return versus the decline to US oil production. We find that equilibrium to supply and demand would likely be found by the end of the year," he writes, expecting prices breaking $49.66 for WTI and $53 for Brent to be "clear signs of a bullish uptrend."