据道琼斯7月9日消息,JBC能源公司分析师称,今年余下的时间里,布伦特原油的交易价格应该在每桶55美元-60美元之间波动。JBC能源表示,从季节角度来看,原油市场的供应未来不会比现在更加紧张,但自9月以后,可能会重返原油储备模式。该公司预计,全球原油库存第四季度将再次增加,预计库存量基本与2014年第四季度持平。若油价能维持在较低水平,可能会令美国减产,从而有可能令油价在2016年第一季度结束后复苏至每桶70美元左右。
庞晓华摘译自道琼斯
原文如下:
Crude Oil Prices May Recover From 2Q 2016
Brent crude oil should trade in a range between $55 and $60 per barrel for the remainder of the year, according to analysts at JBC Energy. From a seasonal perspective crude markets "won't get tighter than they are right now, but will in fact start to get back into crude building mode from September onwards," it says. For the fourth quarter, the research firm expects another increase in global crude stocks, roughly on par with the fourth quarter of 2014, it says. If lower prices do hold, it could curtail more U.S. production--and that could then form the basis for a recovery after the first quarter of next year to around $70/barrel.